Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Newborn Screening for Spinal Muscular Atrophy in Italy.

Abstract

A decision-analytic model assessed the cost effectiveness of newborn screening from the National Health Service perspective in 400,000 newborns. Newborn screening enabling early identification and presymptomatic treatment of SMA was compared with no newborn screening, symptomatic diagnosis, and treatment. Transition probabilities between health states were estimated from clinical trial data. Higher-functioning health states were associated with increased survival, higher utility values, and lower costs. Long-term survival and utilities were extrapolated from scientific literature. Health care costs were collected from official Italian sources. A lifetime time horizon was applied, and costs and outcomes were discounted at an annual rate of 3%. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted. Newborn screening followed by presymptomatic treatment yielded 324 incremental life-years, 390 incremental quality-adjusted life-years, and reduced costs by €1,513,375 over a lifetime time horizon compared with no newborn screening. Thus, newborn screening was less costly and more effective than no newborn screening. Newborn screening has a 100% probability of being cost effective, assuming a willingness-to-pay threshold of >€40,000. Newborn screening followed by presymptomatic SMA treatment is cost effective from the Italian National Health Service perspective.