Cost-effectiveness of various maintenance therapies based on mutation status following first-line treatment of primary epithelial ovarian cancer in the United States.

Abstract

e19399 Background: The recent SOLO1, PRIMA, and PAOLA trials all reported positive efficacy results, making it difficult to determine optimal upfront maintenance therapy for patients with primary, advanced ovarian cancer. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of the maintenance strategies outlined in these trials for BRCA-positive patients, homologous-recombination deficient patients without a BRCA mutation (HRD-positive), and homologous-recombination proficient (HRD-negative) patients. Methods: Three decision analysis models were developed, one for each mutation status. We evaluated olaparib (SOLO1), olaparib/bevacizumab (PAOLA), bevacizumab alone (PAOLA), and niraparib (PRIMA) maintenance strategies. Base case 1 assessed olaparib vs olaparib/bevacizumab vs bevacizumab vs niraparib vs no maintenance therapy in BRCA-positive patients. Base cases 2 and 3 assessed olaparib/bevacizumab vs bevacizumab vs niraparib vs no maintenance therapy in HRD-positive and HRD-negative patients, respectively. Time horizon was 24 months. Costs, measured in U.S. dollars, were estimated from Medicare claims, wholesale acquisition prices, and previously published sources. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were in dollars per progression-free life-year saved (PF-LYS). One-way sensitivity analyses were performed varying drug cost and progression-free survival. Results: Assuming a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000/PF-LYS, none of the drug maintenance strategies could be considered cost effective compared with observation. In BRCA-positive patients (base case 1), olaparib monotherapy was the most cost-effective strategy, yielding an ICER of $181,059/PF-LYS. The third-party payer cost per 28-day supply of olaparib would need to be reduced from approximately $17,000 to $9,200 to be considered cost effective compared with observation. In HRD-positive patients (base case 2) and HRD-negative patients (base case 3), bevacizumab monotherapy was the most cost-effective option, with ICERs of $326,491/PF-LYS and $253,937/PF-LYS respectively. Conclusions: At current costs, maintenance therapy for primary ovarian cancer is not cost effective, regardless of mutation status. In BRCA-positive women, lowering the cost of olaparib may make it cost effective compared with observation.