Abstract

Background:Several colorectal cancer-screening tests are available, but it is uncertain which provides the best balance of risks and benefits within a screening programme. We evaluated cost-effectiveness of a population-based screening programme in Ireland based on (i) biennial guaiac-based faecal occult blood testing (gFOBT) at ages 55–74, with reflex faecal immunochemical testing (FIT); (ii) biennial FIT at ages 55–74; and (iii) once-only flexible sigmoidoscopy (FSIG) at age 60.Methods:A state-transition model was used to estimate costs and outcomes for each screening scenario vs no screening. A third party payer perspective was adopted. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses were undertaken.Results:All scenarios would be considered highly cost-effective compared with no screening. The lowest incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER vs no screening €589 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained) was found for FSIG, followed by FIT (€1696) and gFOBT (€4428); gFOBT was dominated. Compared with FSIG, FIT was associated with greater gains in QALYs and reductions in lifetime cancer incidence and mortality, but was more costly, required considerably more colonoscopies and resulted in more complications. Results were robust to variations in parameter estimates.Conclusion:Population-based screening based on FIT is expected to result in greater health gains than a policy of gFOBT (with reflex FIT) or once-only FSIG, but would require significantly more colonoscopy resources and result in more individuals experiencing adverse effects. Weighing these advantages and disadvantages presents a considerable challenge to policy makers.

Highlights

  • Several colorectal cancer-screening tests are available, but it is uncertain which provides the best balance of risks and benefits within a screening programme

  • In the base-case analysis, once-only flexible sigmoidoscopy (FSIG) at age 60 was expected to be associated with the smallest marginal cost over the lifetime of the cohort compared with no screening (h3.43 per person); this was followed by biennial guaiac-based faecal occult blood testing (gFOBT) at age 55 – 74 (h33.63 per person), and biennial faecal immunochemical testing (FIT) at age 55 – 74 (h40.17 per person; Table 2)

  • Over the lifetime of the cohort all three screening scenarios were associated with a gain in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), which was greatest for FIT (Table 2)

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Summary

Introduction

Several colorectal cancer-screening tests are available, but it is uncertain which provides the best balance of risks and benefits within a screening programme. RESULTS: All scenarios would be considered highly cost-effective compared with no screening. Compared with FSIG, FIT was associated with greater gains in QALYs and reductions in lifetime cancer incidence and mortality, but was more costly, required considerably more colonoscopies and resulted in more complications. CONCLUSION: Population-based screening based on FIT is expected to result in greater health gains than a policy of gFOBT (with reflex FIT) or once-only FSIG, but would require significantly more colonoscopy resources and result in more individuals experiencing adverse effects. Weighing these advantages and disadvantages presents a considerable challenge to policy makers. British Journal of Cancer (2012) 106, 805 – 816. doi:10.1038/bjc.2011.580 www.bjcancer.com Published online 16 February 2012 & 2012 Cancer Research UK

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