Cost-effectiveness of cryoballoon ablation for the management of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

Abstract

Cryoballoon ablation is an established treatment option for the management of patients with atrial fibrillation. We sought to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of cryoablation, compared with second-line anti-arrhythmic drug (AAD) therapy in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF), from a UK payer perspective. We developed a state-transition (Markov) model to calculate the total costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) associated with cryoablation and AAD therapy in patients with PAF. A 5-year horizon was used for the base-case. Data from a recent study of cryoballoon ablation in patients with PAF were used to model short-term health outcomes and costs, together with longer term external evidence to populate subsequent time periods. Total discounted costs were £21 162 and £17 627 for the cryoballoon ablation and AAD arms, respectively. Total QALYs of 3.565 and 3.404 therefore led to an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of £21 957 per QALY gained. Sensitivity analysis suggested that the key drivers of the results were the model time horizon, the costs of follow-up care in patients with recurrent AF, and the costs of the ablation procedure. Cryoballoon ablation provides increased quality-adjusted life expectancy compared with AAD at reasonable additional cost, representing good value for money in patients with PAF.