Cost-effectiveness of anlotinib vs. pembrolizumab and nivolumab as third-line treatment in recurrent small cell lung cancer in China

Abstract

ABSTRACT Background The study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of anlotinib versus pembrolizumab and nivolumab as the third-line treatment in recurrent small cell lung cancer (SCLC) patients from the Chinese healthcare system perspective. Research design and methods A Markov model was built to simulate the costs and health outcomes in the 4-year horizon. Efficacy and safety data of anlotinib, pembrolizumab, and nivolumab in patients with recurrent SCLC were derived from three studies. Cost and utility values were derived from local charges, the published literature, and related databases. Three scenario analyses and sensitivity analyses were performed to explore the robustness of the results. Results Compared with anlotinib, pembrolizumab and nivolumab were estimated to gain an additional 0.18 and 0.10 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) at an incremental cost of $10,446 and $5,182, resulting in an increment cost-utility ratio (ICUR) of $58,221/QALY and $56,733/QALY. The sensitivity analyses showed that the likelihood of anlotinib being cost-effective was 87.5% to 99.9% at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $11,144 to $33,431/QALY. The scenario analyses indicated that the results varied in different scenarios. Conclusions The findings suggest that anlotinib could be the most cost-effective option versus pembrolizumab and nivolumab in the third-line treatment of recurrent SCLC from the Chinese healthcare system perspective.