Abstract

Objective: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of insertable cardiac monitors (ICMs) compared to standard of care (SoC) for detecting atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients at high risk of stroke (CHADS2 >2), in the US.Background: ICMs are a clinically effective means of detecting AF in high-risk patients, prompting them to initiate non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs). Their cost-effectiveness from a US clinical payer perspective is not yet known. Methods: Using patient data from the REVEAL AF trial, a Markov model estimated the lifetime costs and benefits of detecting AF with an ICM or with SoC (namely, intermittent use of electrocardiograms [ECGs] and 24-hour Holter monitors). Ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes, intra- and extra-cranial hemorrhages, and minor bleeds were modelled. Diagnostic and device costs were included, plus costs of treating stroke and bleeding events and costs of NOACs. Costs and health outcomes, measured as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), were discounted at 3% per annum. One-way deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) were undertaken. Results: Lifetime per-patient cost for ICM was $57,567 vs. $51,550 for SoC. ICMs generated a total 7.804 QALYs vs. 7.632 for SoC. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was $35,141 per QALY gained. ICMs were cost-effective in 76% of PSA simulations, using a $50,000 per QALY threshold. The number of ICMs needed to prevent one stroke was 28. Conclusions: The use of ICMs to identify AF in a high-risk population is likely to be cost-effective in the US healthcare setting.

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