Correlations between SARS-CoV-2 Infections and the Number of COVID-19 Vaccine Doses Administered in Three Italian Provinces.

Abstract

The aim of this ecological study is to evaluate correlations between the number of COVID-19 vaccine doses administered in three Italian provinces-one in the south, one in the center and one in the north of the country-and the registered numbers of COVID-19 cases in the same areas. The period of January 2021-September 2022 was considered, with specific analysis for fractions of times corresponding to the spread in Italy of the different SARS-CoV-2 variants. The results confirm the reduction of the effectiveness of the vaccines in preventing new COVID-19 cases in Italy, regardless of latitude, after the appearance of the first omicron variants. The new variants omicron 4 and 5 showed an extremely high spread during the Italian summer months; fortunately, the effects of the vaccinations in preventing new cases was improved compared to the previous omicron variants, showing a negative correlation between the new COVID-19 cases and the number of vaccine doses administered.