Abstract

AbstractSteady flow toward a fully penetrating well takes place in a natural porous formation, where the erratic spatial variations, and the raising uncertainty, of the hydraulic conductivity K are modeled within a stochastic framework which regards the log‐conductivity, ln K, as a Gaussian, stationary, random field. The study provides second order moments of the flow variables by regarding the variance of the log‐conductivity as a perturbation parameter. Unlike similar studies on the topic, moments are expressed in a quite general (valid for any autocorrelation function of ln K) and very simple (from the computational stand point) form. It is shown that the (cross)variances, unlike the case of mean uniform flows, are not anymore stationary due to the dependence of the mean velocity upon the distance from the well. In particular, they vanish at the well because of the condition of given head along the well’s axis, whereas away from it they behave like those pertaining to a uniform flow. Then, theoretical results are applied to a couple (one serving for calibration and the other used for validation purposes) of pumping tests to illustrate how they can be used to determine the hydraulic properties of the aquifers. In particular, the concept of head‐factor is shown to be the key‐parameter to identify the statistical moments of the random field K.

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