Abstract

BackgroundAcute pancreatitis (AP) is a common acute abdominal disease. Rapid evaluation of the severity is important for AP prognosis and treatment. Free triiodothyronine (fT3) level is associated with the prognosis of AP patients. This study aimed to investigate the fT3 level in patients with acute pancreatitis; early warning signs of inflammation, including interleukin-6 (IL-6) and interleukin-10 (IL-10); and the correlation of fT3 level with illness severity.Material/MethodsEnrolled AP patients (N=312) were divided into an SAP group (N=92) and a non-SAP group (N=220) according to the Revision of Atlanta classification. Blood or tissue samples and baseline clinical characteristics were recorded. The t test and chi-square test were used to evaluate differences between the 2 groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to investigate protective factors. One-way repeated measures analysis of variance was used to evaluate the prognosis of SAP patients.ResultsIn our study, compared with APACHII score (AUC 0.829 [95% CIs 0.769–0.889]) and Ranson score (AUC 0.629 [95% CIs 0.542–0.715]), our predictive model (AUC 0.918 [95% CIs 0.875–0.961]) showed better prognostic performance in predicting poor patient outcomes. In the SAP group, changes in fT3 level were significantly associated with prognosis (P<0.05).ConclusionsThe predictive model can improve the diagnostic accuracy and prediction of the severity of disease. FT3 level could be used as an independent risk factor to predict the mortality of SAP patients.

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