Abstract

Abstract. Thornthwaite's formula is globally an optimum candidate for large-scale applications of potential evapotranspiration and aridity assessment at different climates and landscapes since it has lower data requirements compared to other methods and especially from the ASCE-standardized reference evapotranspiration (formerly FAO-56), which is the most data-demanding method and is commonly used as the benchmark method. The aim of the study is to develop a global database of local coefficients for correcting the formula of monthly Thornthwaite potential evapotranspiration (Ep) using as benchmark the ASCE-standardized reference evapotranspiration method (Er). The validity of the database will be verified by testing the hypothesis that a local correction coefficient, which integrates the local mean effect of wind speed, humidity, and solar radiation, can improve the performance of the original Thornthwaite formula. The database of local correction coefficients was developed using global gridded temperature, rainfall, and Er data of the period 1950–2000 at 30 arcsec resolution (∼ 1 km at Equator) from freely available climate geodatabases. The correction coefficients were produced as partial weighted averages of monthly Er/Ep ratios by setting the ratios' weight according to the monthly Er magnitude and by excluding colder months with monthly values of Er or Ep < 45 mm per month because their ratio becomes highly unstable for low temperatures. The validation of the correction coefficients was made using raw data from 525 stations of Europe; California, USA; and Australia including data up to 2020. The validation procedure showed that the corrected Thornthwaite formula Eps using local coefficients led to a reduction of RMSE from 37.2 to 30.0 mm m−1 for monthly step estimations and from 388.8 to 174.8 mm yr−1 for annual step estimations compared to Ep using as a benchmark the values of the Er method. The corrected Eps and the original Ep Thornthwaite formulas were also evaluated by their use in Thornthwaite and UNEP (United Nations Environment Program) aridity indices using as a benchmark the respective indices estimated by Er. The analysis was made using the validation data of the stations, and the results showed that the correction of the Thornthwaite formula using local coefficients increased the accuracy of detecting identical aridity classes with Er from 63 % to 76 % for the case of Thornthwaite classification and from 76 % to 93 % for the case of UNEP classification. The performance of both aridity indices using the corrected formula was extremely improved in the case of non-humid classes. The global database of local correction factors can support applications of reference evapotranspiration and aridity index assessment with the minimum data requirements (i.e., temperature) for locations where climatic data are limited. The global grids of local correction coefficients for the Thornthwaite formula produced in this study are archived in the PANGAEA database and can be assessed using the following link: https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.932638 (Aschonitis et al., 2021).

Highlights

  • S1, S2, and 4 and Table 1, a much better performance of Eps compared to the original Thornthwaite formula Ep is observed in all cases, providing better monthly and better annual reference evapotranspiration estimations that approximate the values of ASCE for short reference grass

  • The method for developing the correction coefficients was based on partially weighted averages of their respective mean monthly values estimated as the monthly ratios between the benchmark ASCE-standardized evapotranspiration method (Er) method versus the original Thornthwaite Ep

  • The correction coefficients were produced as partially weighted averages of monthly Er/Ep ratios by setting the ratios’ weight according to the monthly Er magnitude and by excluding colder months because the Er/Ep ratio becomes highly unstable for low temperatures

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Summary

Introduction

The assessment of potential or reference evapotranspiration is among the most important components for many hydroclimatic applications such as irrigation design and management, water balance assessment studies, and assessment of aridity classification and drought indices (Weiß and Menzel, 2008; Wang and Dickinson, 2012; McMahon et al, 2013; Aschonitis et al, 2017). Such applications, and especially applications of aridity classification and drought indices (UNEP, 1997; Thornthwaite, 1948; Palmer, 1965; Holdridge, 1967; Beguería et al, 2014) that are usually employed at large scales, require estimations of potential or reference evapotranspiration of respective scale. Extensive literature shows that temperature-based formulas are inherently of low performance because temperature cannot properly describe the evaporative flux, while various studies have shown differences among the Penman–Monteith-based and temperaturebased potential evapotranspiration assessments such as the one of Thornthwaite (1948), which is the most popular in aridity and drought index applications (Sheffield et al, 2012; Dai, 2013; van der Schrier et al, 2013; Trenberth et al, 2014; Yuan and Quiring, 2014; Zhang et al, 2015; Asadi Zarch et al, 2015)

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