Corrected Diffusion Approximations for Ruin Probabilities in a Markov Random Walk

Abstract

Let (X, S) = {(Xn, Sn); n ≧0} be a Markov random walk with finite state space. For a ≦ 0 < b define the stopping times τ= inf {n:Sn > b} and T= inf{n:Sn∉(a, b)}. The diffusion approximations of a one-barrier probability P {τ < ∝ | Xo= i}, and a two-barrier probability P{ST ≧b | Xo = i} with correction terms are derived. Furthermore, to approximate the above ruin probabilities, the limiting distributions of overshoot for a driftless Markov random walk are involved.