Abstract

This study compared the utility of corneal nerve measures with brain volumetry for predicting progression to dementia in individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI). Participants with no cognitive impairment (NCI) and MCI underwent assessment of cognitive function, brain volumetry of thirteen brain structures, including the hippocampus and corneal confocal microscopy (CCM). Participants with MCI were followed up in the clinic to identify progression to dementia. Of 107 participants with MCI aged 68.4 ± 7.7 years, 33 (30.8%) progressed to dementia over 2.6-years offollow-up. Compared to participants with NCI (n=12), participants who remained with MCI (n=74) or progressed to dementia had lower cornealnerve measures (p < 0.0001). Progressors had lower cornealnerve measures, hippocampal, and whole brain volume (all p < 0.0001).However, CCM had a higher prognostic accuracy (72%-75% vs 68%-69%) for identifying individuals who progressed to dementia compared to hippocampus and whole brain volume. The adjusted odds ratio for progression to dementia was 6.1 (95% CI: 1.6-23.8) and 4.1 (95% CI: 1.2-14.2) higher with abnormal CCM measures, but was not significant for abnormal brain volume. Abnormal CCM measures have a higher prognostic accuracy than brain volumetry for predicting progression from MCI to dementia.Further work isrequiredto validate the predictive ability of CCM compared to other established biomarkers of dementia.

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