Abstract

Core-satellite theory predicts that, via the ''rescue effect'', widespread, abundant species should have reduced risk of local extinctions. We test this hypothesis in southeastern Malagasy littoral forest using data on distribution and abundance of trees and woody understory vegetation in tropical forest fragments along a disturbance gradient. We partition the mortality risk into two kinds of extinction factors, separately operating at demographic (local) and landscape (regional) scales, contrary to core-satellite predictions, for both trees and woody understory vegetation, that the relative number of core (abundant) species declined significantly with increasing disturbance. In the least-degraded forest fragments there was a strong mode of core species, while in the moderately- and severely- degraded fragments the species distributions were essentially log-normal, lacking a substantial core mode. While the rescue effect mitigates one kind of extinction risk, namely local environmental and demographic stochasticity, it may not counterbal- ance widespread pervasive sources of mortality. The amount of internal forest fragmentation appears to have a much greater effect on species richness and diversity than either fragment size or shape.

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