Abstract

We present a new method for the detection of coral bleaching using satellite time-series data. While the detection of coral bleaching from satellite imagery is difficult due to the low signal-to-noise ratio of benthic reflectance, we overcame this difficulty using three approaches: 1) specialized pre-processing developed for Planet Dove satellites, 2) a time-series approach for determining baseline reflectance statistics, and 3) a regional filter based on a preexisting map of live coral. The time-series was divided into a baseline period (April-July 2019), when no coral bleaching was known to have taken place, and a bleaching period (August 2019-present), when the bleaching was known to have occurred based on field data. The identification of the bleaching period allowed the computation of a Standardized Bottom Reflectance (SBR) for each region. SBR transforms the weekly bottom reflectance into a value relative to the baseline reflectance distribution statistics, increasing the sensitivity to bleaching detection. We tested three scales of the temporal smoothing of the SBR (weekly, cumulative average, and three-week moving average). Our field verification of coral bleaching throughout the main Hawaiian Islands showed that the cumulative average and three-week moving average smoothing detected the highest proportion of coral bleaching locations, correctly identifying 11 and 10 out of 18 locations, respectively. However, the three-week moving average provided a better sensitivity in coral bleaching detection, with a performance increase of at least one standard deviation, which helps define the confidence level of a detected bleaching event.

Highlights

  • Coral reefs are some of the most diverse and valuable ecosystems on the planet

  • We introduce a coral bleaching probability index—the Standardized Bottom Reflectance (SBR)—to measure the coral bleaching probability based on multi-temporal statistics obtained from the baseline period Planet Dove observations to help in defining subsequent reflectance anomalies

  • The SBR threshold of 1 is the initial criterion we used for coral bleaching detection, because when the SBRs are outside one standard deviation of the historical average, the signal is anomalous and detectable

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Summary

Introduction

Coral reefs are some of the most diverse and valuable ecosystems on the planet. They provide key ecosystem services such as fisheries, tourism, and cultural practices [1,2]. Coral reefs are experiencing rapid changes from increased bleaching events due to the changing climate. Local scales (10–1000 m2) has been reported for almost a century [3]. In recent years coral bleaching, along with marine ecosystem change, is becoming a global-scale problem [4,5,6,7]. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) estimates that 90–99% of global coral reefs will be affected by ocean warming and acidification by 2050 [8]

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