Abstract

We present a novel convex optimisation model for ship speed profile optimisation under varying environmental conditions, with a fixed schedule for the journey. To demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed method, a combined speed profile optimisation model was developed that employed an existing dynamic programming approach, along the novel convex optimisation model. The proposed model was tested with 5 different ships for 20 journeys from Houston, Texas to London Gateway, with differing environmental conditions, which were retrieved from actual weather forecasts. As a result, it was shown that the combined model with both dynamic programming and convex optimisation was approximately 22% more effective in developing a fuel saving speed profile compared to dynamic programming alone. Overall, average fuel savings for the studied voyages with speed profile optimisation was approximately 1.1% compared to operation with a fixed speed and 3.5% for voyages where significant variance in environmental conditions was present. Speed profile optimisation was found to be especially beneficial in cases where detrimental environmental conditions could be avoided with minor speed adjustments. Relaxation of the fixed schedule constraint likely leads to larger savings but makes comparison virtually impossible as a lower speed leads to lower propulsion energy needed.

Highlights

  • The international maritime organization has made a preliminary plan on how to reduce shipping-related greenhouse gas emissions by 50% by 2050 compared to emissions values in 2008 [1]

  • The authors reported 21% of possible average fuel savings with their method compared to the operation with the design speed of the studied ship

  • D∆ and T∆ were selected so that a fairly accurate result was still attainable by dynamic programming, and so that the graph structure could still be stored into the memory of a standard desktop computer with 16 GB of random-access memory

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Summary

Introduction

The international maritime organization has made a preliminary plan on how to reduce shipping-related greenhouse gas emissions by 50% by 2050 compared to emissions values in 2008 [1]. Voyage optimisation refers to the optimisation of a ship’s route and speed on a journey with varying weather conditions, typically with a fixed schedule. The authors reported 3.1% of possible fuel savings with the method, compared to a similar algorithm that optimised the routing by only assuming a fixed speed. The authors reported 21% of possible average fuel savings with their method compared to the operation with the design speed of the studied ship. The authors in [22] formulated the speed profile optimisation problem along a fixed route and schedule as an optimisation problem with spatial weather condition vectors and a simplified ship performance model. A comprehensive study on the effectiveness of ship speed profile optimisation under a fixed schedule for various ship types

Methods
Ship Performance Model
Dynamic Programming
Convex Optimisation
Combining Dijkstra’s Algorithm Solution with Convex Optimisation
Results
Computational Load Analysis
Example Voyage Analysis
Discussion
Conclusions
Full Text
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