Abstract

Previous studies show that the dominant mode of variability in the Northeastern subtropical Pacific and Atlantic are analogous. Most attention has been given to the wind-evaporation-sea surface temperature (WES) feedback, but more recent studies suggest that clouds and ocean play a role. Here, it is shown that, while the mode of variability is similar, the quantitative role of clouds and ocean are different. Using Community Earth System Model, version 1.2, cloud feedbacks and interactive ocean dynamics are disabled separately to diagnose the relative contributions of each to sea surface temperature (SST) variability in subtropical northeastern ocean basins. Results from four experiments show that the relative contributions from WES and cloud radiative feedback depend on the role of the ocean. Positive cloud radiative feedback is evident in both basins but has less impact on SST variance in the Atlantic than in the Pacific. The reason for this is that ocean processes strongly damp SST anomalies in the Pacific and weakly enhance SST anomalies in the Atlantic. When cloud feedbacks are disabled, ocean processes become a larger driver of SST variability in the Atlantic. In line with previous studies, the Northeast Pacific SST variability may be understood as a white-noise-forced linear stochastic system with positive feedback from cloud and damping by latent heat flux and ocean processes, while Atlantic SST is driven partially by variations in ocean circulation and requires vertical mixing for rendition. Between these two regions, different ocean dynamics lead to different roles for atmospheric feedbacks but still result in similar patterns of SST variability.

Highlights

  • Sea surface temperature (SST) variability in northeastern subtropical ocean basins is important for tropical-extratropical teleconnections (Chiang and Vimont 2004; Zhang et al 2014), low-frequency modes of climate variability (Middlemas and Clement 2016; Di Lorenzo et al 2015; Di Lorenzo and Mantua 2016), and precipitation on continental coasts (Nobre and Shukla 1996; Kutzbach and Liu 1997; Burgman et al 2017)

  • We focus on sea surface temperature (SST) in regions that fall within two-thirds of the maximum shortwave positive cloud feedback in CESM1.2

  • Subtropical ocean basins in both the atmospheric global climate model (AGCM)-slab and fully coupled configurations, but the fully-coupled simulation shows less enhanced SST variance (Fig. 1), suggesting that interactive ocean dynamics alter the influence of cloud radiative feedback in SST variability

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Summary

Introduction

Sea surface temperature (SST) variability in northeastern subtropical ocean basins is important for tropical-extratropical teleconnections (Chiang and Vimont 2004; Zhang et al 2014), low-frequency modes of climate variability (Middlemas and Clement 2016; Di Lorenzo et al 2015; Di Lorenzo and Mantua 2016), and precipitation on continental coasts Bellomo et al (2014a, 2015) enhanced positive low cloud feedback in the subtropical Pacific Ocean in an atmospheric global climate model (AGCM) coupled to a slab ocean by enhancing the clouds’ optical depth in response to cooling SST These authors report up to a 100% increase in SST variability on decadal timescales (Bellomo et al 2014a, 2015). Some studies have noted that atmospheric forcing (Doi et al 2010) and, in particular, positive cloud feedback (Norris 1998; Myers et al 2018a) impact the northeast subtropical SST the most during the summertime through shoaling of the mixed layer during this season This process would be missed in an AGCM coupled to a slab ocean where monthly-varying climatological mixed layer depth is prescribed (Bellomo et al 2014a, 2015). We attempt to answer two questions in this study: (1) how much does positive cloud radiative feedback matter for SST variability in northeast subtropical ocean basins, and (2) do ocean dynamics change the role of cloud radiative feedbacks?

Modeling experiments
Ocean mixed layer heat budget
Changes in SST variance due to cloud‐locking with and without ocean dynamics
The NE Pacific
The NE Atlantic
Drivers of ocean heat convergence and divergence
Findings
Discussion and conclusions
Full Text
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