Abstract
Abstract. Meltwater from Himalayan glaciers sustains the flow of rivers such as the Ganges and Brahmaputra on which over half a billion people depend for day-to-day needs. Upstream areas are likely to be affected substantially by climate change, and changes in the magnitude and timing of meltwater supply are expected to occur in coming decades. About 10 % of the Himalayan glacier population terminates into proglacial lakes, and such lake-terminating glaciers are known to exhibit higher-than-average total mass losses. However, relatively little is known about the mechanisms driving exacerbated ice loss from lake-terminating glaciers in the Himalaya. Here we examine a composite (2017–2019) glacier surface velocity dataset, derived from Sentinel 2 imagery, covering central and eastern Himalayan glaciers larger than 3 km2. We find that centre flow line velocities of lake-terminating glaciers (N = 70; umedian: 18.83 m yr−1; IQR – interquartile range – uncertainty estimate: 18.55–19.06 m yr−1) are on average more than double those of land-terminating glaciers (N = 249; umedian: 8.24 m yr−1; IQR uncertainty estimate: 8.17–8.35 m yr−1) and show substantially more heterogeneity than land-terminating glaciers around glacier termini. We attribute this large heterogeneity to the varying influence of lakes on glacier dynamics, resulting in differential rates of dynamic thinning, which causes about half of the lake-terminating glacier population to accelerate towards the glacier termini. Numerical ice-flow model experiments show that changes in the force balance at the glacier termini are likely to play a key role in accelerating the glacier flow at the front, with variations in basal friction only being of modest importance. The expansion of current glacial lakes and the formation of new meltwater bodies will influence the dynamics of an increasing number of Himalayan glaciers in the future, and these factors should be carefully considered in regional projections.
Highlights
Himalayan glaciers provide an important baseline supply of meltwater for downstream areas (Bolch, 2017; Immerzeel et al, 2010; Pritchard, 2019; Viviroli et al, 2007)
The main aim of this study is to examine the influence of proglacial lakes on Himalayan glacier dynamics, in order to improve the current understanding of the large subregional heterogeneity of glacier behaviour
The uncertainty decreases from the equilibrium-line altitude (ELA) moving further into the ablation zone due to the enhanced pixel contrast
Summary
Himalayan glaciers provide an important baseline supply of meltwater for downstream areas (Bolch, 2017; Immerzeel et al, 2010; Pritchard, 2019; Viviroli et al, 2007). A drastic reduction in glacier area and mass is projected in the Himalaya over the 21st century (Kraaijenbrink et al, 2017; Rounce et al, 2020), large uncertainties in the pace of the loss exist (Lutz et al, 2013). There are large uncertainties in future meltwater supply, and an improved understanding of the evolution of Himalayan glaciers is needed. Within the Himalayan mountains, large intra-regional variability in glacier mass loss exists
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