Abstract
In the construction practice, at the stage of planning of a construction project, planners are trying to take into account the possibility of unfavorable situations and their consequences during the project execution. Therefore, planning decisions should use appropriate tools for uncertainty modeling as well as consider alternative options for the implementation of the entire undertaking or the most sensitive (critical) works. Taking into account the fact that the management and planning of construction projects is carried out in conditions of non-stochastic uncertainty, the authors propose to create an alternative model with a fuzzy decision node based on classical network models. This approach allows to model activities that are alternative to each other. An important methodological element is the fuzzy assessment of the considered alternatives with the use of fuzzy set theory. The proposed alternative network model with a fuzzy decision node gives the possibility to conduct a comprehensive analysis with the possibility of taking into account and modeling the uncertainty of input data in an easy way. The numerical example shows the possibility of quick selection of the best variant based on the adopted assessment criteria and allows to serialize work variants, which gives additional information in the alternative activities of the network model in the form of preferences. The combination of a decision model in the form of a decision node with a network model can be useful in both strategic and tactical planning of the implementation of construction projects.
Highlights
Planning is a very important function in the management of a construction project
From the point of view of the authors, it is reasonable to include additional criteria in addition to temporarily cost characteristics of the considered technologies, taking into account the priorities of a given decision situation as much as possible. It may be a generally defined criterion of technological and organizational complexity in the scope of which, depending on the decision-making situation, purely technical and market aspects should be taken into account, namely: the degree of difficulty in performing a given technology, Fig. 3 A network model with a fuzzy decision node
Calculated individual degrees of preferences are entered into the network. This shows which path in the network is more preferred, according to the planning conditions
Summary
Planning is a very important function in the management of a construction project. The planning process begins before the approval of the scope of works and continues during the execution of the project and implementation of change orders. This means that the decisions made at the planning level are of fundamental importance in the further stages of the project. The main goal of planning construction projects is to build a certain model of the project’s course.
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