Abstract

The objective of this study was to define two biological reference points, the Upper Stock Reference Point (USR) and the Limit Reference Point (LRP), to facilitate management of the Fraser River delta commercial Dungeness crab (Cancer magister) fishery in a precautionary manner. The USR is the stock level below which the removal rate is progressively reduced to avoid reaching the LRP. The LRP is the stock level below which productivity is sufficiently impaired to cause serious harm. Currently, the commercial Dungeness crab fishery in the Fraser River delta is managed with a minimum size limit (165mm carapace width point-to-point), non-retention of females and soft-shell crabs, and a restricted fishing season (June to November) to protect large males during the winter/spring moult period. We evaluated variations in legal male, sublegal male, and female Dungeness crab abundances using fishery-independent trap surveys from 1988 to 2010. We also examined proportions of soft-shell legal male and female crabs using survey data and information collected from commercial fishing. A relationship existed between female abundance and corresponding legal male abundance five years later, which is well described by the Beverton–Holt stock–recruitment model. We conducted simulations to assess possible adverse impacts of fishing on the crab population. We assumed the population would stabilize at the existing abundance upon suspension of commercial harvesting if abundance has been steadily declining. Using the stock–recruitment relationship along with information on commercial catch compositions and soft-shell proportions, we assessed the potential reduction in legal male and female crab abundances, given persistent fishing, before the population reaches a lower equilibrium. The amount of reduction to legal male and female crabs increases with decreasing population size. If legal male crab abundance is 50% and 20% of maximum possible recruitment, then fishing would reduce female abundance by 20% and 48%, respectively, before the population is stabilized. We propose these two female abundance levels as the USR and LRP for managing the Fraser River commercial Dungeness crab fishery.

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