Construction of a preoperative nomogram model for predicting perineural invasion in advanced gastric cancer.

Abstract

This study aimed to develop and validate a clinical and imaging-based nomogram for preoperatively predicting perineural invasion (PNI) in advanced gastric cancer. A retrospective cohort of 351 patients with advanced gastric cancer who underwent surgical resection was included. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify independent risk factors for PNI and to construct the nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was assessed using calibration curves, the concordance index (C-index), the area under the curve (AUC), and decision curve analysis (DCA). The disparity in disease-free survival (DFS) between the nomogram-predicted PNI-positive group and the nomogram-predicted PNI-negative group was evaluated using the Log-Rank test and Kaplan-Meier analysis. Extramural vascular invasion (EMVI), Borrmann classification, tumor thickness, and the systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) emerged as independent risk factors for PNI. The nomogram model demonstrated a commendable AUC value of 0.838. Calibration curves exhibited excellent concordance, with a C-index of 0.814. DCA indicated that the model provided good clinical net benefit. The DFS of the nomogram-predicted PNI-positive group was significantly lower than that of the nomogram-predicted PNI-negative group (p < 0.001). This study successfully developed a preoperative nomogram model that not only effectively predicted PNI in gastric cancer but also facilitated postoperative risk stratification.