Abstract

Quantitative investment has attracted much attention, along with the vigorous development of Fintech. Fundamentals are one of the most important reference factors for investment. Before quantitative trading, evaluation of fundamentals may have been more dependent on personal experience. While artificial intelligence evaluation models can provide good investment suggestions and select stocks with better fundamentals. From the four angles of solvency, growth ability, operation ability, and profitability, this research selects 13 financial indicators to build a fundamental evaluation system through correlation coefficient analysis. The corporate life cycle assessment indicator is innovatively added so that the fundamental improvement expectation is put into the evaluation system. Four different kinds of scoring methods are applied to obtain a more rational and comprehensive evaluation of indicators. Then, grey relational analysis is adopted to determine the initial weight to calculate the expected output. Finally, BP neural network (back propagation) is used for training and testing to realize weight optimization. It is concluded that the model is suitable for quantitative scoring of the fundamentals of listed companies and can effectively reflect their value of them.

Highlights

  • Since Benjamin Graham founded the theory of value investment [1], the fundamentals of stocks have become an indispensable factor of investment

  • A large number of econometric models used to evaluate the intrinsic value of companies have emerged, such as Tobin’s Q theory [2, 3] and five-factor asset pricing model [4], which pushed the development of value investment

  • With the blossom of FinTech and quantitative investment, artificial intelligence algorithms are widely used to optimize the results of traditional models and construct better portfolios

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Summary

Introduction

Since Benjamin Graham founded the theory of value investment [1], the fundamentals of stocks have become an indispensable factor of investment. Traditional econometric models are limited due to a lack of proof to demonstrate that the result is optimal. With the blossom of FinTech and quantitative investment, artificial intelligence algorithms are widely used to optimize the results of traditional models and construct better portfolios. Motivated by the above observations, this paper focuses on the construction of a fundamental quantitative evaluation model of the A-share listed companies based on the BP neural network. (3) Grey relational analysis and BP neural network training simulation are used to optimize the weight of indicators so as to obtain the fundamental scoring system of all-industry listed companies

Grey Relational Analysis
Corporate Life Cycle eory
Selection of Evaluation Methods
Evaluation with Ranking Method
Evaluation by Moderate Analysis Method
Life Cycle Assessment
Index Weight Calculation
Input Layer Neuron
Network Model Training
Simulation Result Analysis
Robustness Test
Result
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