Construction and Application of LSTM-Based Prediction Model for Tunnel Surrounding Rock Deformation

Abstract

Tunnel surrounding rock deformation is a significant issue in tunnel construction and maintenance and has garnered attention from both domestic and international scholars. Traditional methods of predicting tunnel surrounding rock deformation involve fitting monitoring and measuring data, which is a laborious and resource-intensive process with low accuracy when predicting data with significant fluctuations. A deep learning approach can improve monitoring efficiency and accuracy while reducing labor costs. In this study, taking an actual tunnel project as an example, a long short-term memory (LSTM) network model was constructed based on the recurrent neural network algorithm with deep learning to model and analyze the tunnel monitoring and measurement data, and the model was used to analyze and predict the vault settlement of the tunnel. LSTM is a type of artificial neural network architecture that is commonly used in deep learning applications for sequence prediction tasks, such as natural language processing, speech recognition, and time-series forecasting. In predicting data with smaller fluctuations, the maximum error is 4.76 mm, the minimum error is 0.03 mm, the root mean square error is 2.64, and the coefficient of determination is 0.98. In predicting data with larger fluctuations, the maximum error is 8.32 mm, the minimum error is 0.13 mm, the root mean square error is 4.42, and the coefficient of determination is 0.88. The average error of the LSTM network model is 2.16 mm. With the growth of the prediction period, the prediction results become more and more stable and closer to the actual vault settlement, which provides a reliable reference for introducing the LSTM prediction method with deep learning to tunnel construction and promoting tunnel construction safety.