Abstract

Abstract With the increasing depth and intensity of coal mining, the impact on ground pressure has become one of the main disasters facing mining, seriously threatening mine safety. Introducing the concept of toughness urban design, building a joint toughness prevention and control system based on active prediction and analysis of the impact pressure risk at the back mining face according to the geological deposit conditions and mining technology conditions and passive warning using monitoring data to explore the impact precursor characteristics is an important basis for impact pressure management and has important engineering significance to ensure the safe back mining. In this paper, firstly, the whole working face is divided into small unit areas, and the BP neural network prediction model is constructed to predict and analyze each small unit separately, and the distribution of impact ground pressure hazard level in different areas of the working face is derived. Next, a FLAC numerical model was established to analyze the stress distribution and migration characteristics at different retrieval distances of the working face and to explore the main distribution areas of impact hazard. Finally, the trend method, critical value method, and dynamic rate of change method were applied to determine the early warning indicators of impact ground pressure in the Kuan Gou coal mine, establish a comprehensive early warning method of impact ground pressure applicable to the Kuan Gou coal mine, and carry out field application with good effect. The findings of this paper have good scientific significance and reference value for promoting impact hazard analysis and early warning in mines with similar geological conditions and mining technology conditions in China.

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