Abstract

206 Background: While active surveillance (AS) has become the preferred management strategy for patients with NCCN very-low and low risk prostate cancer, its use in the setting of intermediate risk disease continues to be controversial. Current guidelines state that AS can be considered in favorable intermediate risk disease, but data on outcomes in this cohort of patients is lacking. We aim to report on our experience with AS of Gleason grade group (GG) 2 at the National Cancer Institute (NCI)/National Institutes of Health (NIH). Methods: Our IRB-approved, institutional database was reviewed for men who enrolled on our AS protocol at NIH with GG2 disease from 2007-2020. All patients received MRI-targeted and systematic biopsy at the time of enrollment, diagnosing or confirming GG2 disease. MRI and PSA were performed annually, and majority of patients underwent annual combined MRI targeted and systematic prostate biopsy. If PSA and MRI were stable, annual biopsy was postponed in several patients based on their preference. Differences in PSA and PSAD at enrollment on AS and at progression were compared using Wilcoxon signed rank test. P value < 0.05 was considered significant. Results: 98 patients with GG2 disease enrolled in AS at NIH. Average age at enrollment was 64 years old and the majority of patients were Caucasian. 36/98(37%) of these patients progressed to GG3 or higher while on AS. Median PSA at time of progression was significantly higher than at the time of enrollment on AS (5.2 [IQR 4.0-8.9] vs 8.5 [IQR 5.8-10.9], z = -3.12, p < 0.01). PSAD was also significantly higher at time of progression (0.12[IQR 0.1-0.16] vs 0.13[IQR 0.10-0.22], z = -2.65, p < 0.01). Highest PIRADS score on MRI was largely unchanged. Median time to progression was 71 months. The majority of patients progressed to GG3, and progression was the trigger for definitive treatment. All patients were alive at the end of the follow up period. Conclusions: AS is a reasonable option for compliant patients diagnosed with GG2 prostate cancer. While a significant percentage of these men will progress on AS, they do so at a median of 71 months, avoiding treatment-related harms of definitive therapy for over 5 years. Further research with larger sample sizes are needed to better evaluate the oncologic outcomes of AS for GG2 disease, as well as predictors of more aggressive disease that may be better served with upfront definitive treatment. [Table: see text]

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