Consensus reaching process for group decision-making based on trust network and ordinal consensus measure

Abstract

Due to the urgent nature of emergency decision making, it is necessary to reach the consensus requirement quickly. Ordinal consensus measure explores the relation between the rankings and helps to intuitively know which alternative needs to be adjusted to accelerate the improvement of consensus. Moreover, decision makers (DMs) in the decision making problem are often connected through trust relationships which affect the DMs’ judgments in the process of DMs’ interaction. Therefore, this paper explores trust network-based group decision-making in which the consensus level is estimated by an ordinal consensus measure. We first focus on the supplementation of an incomplete trust network. One of the most common methods is to design the trust propagation operator, whereas the intensity of information propagation may be different in various scenarios. Therefore, considering the different numerical scale of the linguistic term set, a trust propagation operator with different intensity of trust propagation is designed to obtain the indirect trust relationship. In the process of supplementing the incomplete trust network, the contribution of DMs to propagating information is concerned, which can be described by the betweenness centrality, and the importance weights of DMs are determined by combining the betweenness centrality and trust in-degree. In the consensus reaching process, we first propose an improved ordinal consensus measure, which takes into account the consistency of orders of the same alternative in different rankings as well as the importance of positions of alternatives. Then, we design the identification rule and the feedback mechanism for those with low consensus levels. The identification rule is used to select the DMs which first few alternatives in the ranking are different with those in the ranking of group. And in the feedback mechanism, the referenced preference relation (FPR) obtained by the trust network is provided for the identified DMs. Afterwards, combining the referenced FPR, an optimization model is designed to give the adjustment opinion. Finally, a numerical example elaborates on the feasibility of the trust propagation operator and consensus model. The comparative analysis demonstrates the rationality and effectiveness of the proposed model.