Abstract

Mutations in KCNQ1 are linked to long QT and other syndromes. This study reports a method to predict clinical outcome when a mutation at KCNQ1 is found. We used amino-acid distribution probability to measure KCNQ1 mutants, and cross-impact analysis to couple KCNQ1 mutants with clinical outcome. Then, Bayesian equation was used to calculate the probability of occurrence of long-QT syndrome in the presence of a mutation. Seventy-six mutations were classified into two groups according to whether a mutation increased or decreased amino-acid distribution probability. Cross-impact analysis showed that a mutation that increases the distribution probability has a greater chance of causing long-QT syndrome than a mutation that decreases the distribution probability. Bayesian calculation suggested that a patient would have a 90% chance of developing long-QT syndrome when a mutation is found at KCNQ1. This study details the process of building a quantitative relationship between KCNQ1 mutations and clinical outcome and provides the probability of LQT1 in the presence of a mutation.

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