Abstract
The national elections are just a month away, yet there is little consensus about just what the forthcoming 105th Congress will look like. Whatever the outcome, the level of scientific expertise among lawmakers likely will not rise next year. The unexpected victory by Republicans in 1994, when they wrestled both the House and Senate away from Democratic control, has made predicting election outcomes precarious. In the Senate, 34 seats are up for grabs this year—19 presently held by Republicans and 15 by Democrats. However, the primary target of Democratic strategists this year is the 19-seat majority held by Republicans in the House of Representatives. As in 1994, a large number of congressional members are either retiring or running for other offices. More than 10% of House members are leaving, and 14 members of the Senate will not return. This turnover is comparable to that which occurred two years ago. Combined with the large number of ...
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