Condition-Based Maintenance for Traction Power Supply Equipment Based on Partially Observable Markov Decision Process

Abstract

Actual condition-based maintenance for traction power supply equipment (TPSE) is almost based on completely observable equipment state. However, it is unpractical to accurately reveal the equipment state due to the inescapably uncertainty of state assessment. In order to optimize the maintenance of TPSE, a maintenance model based on partially observable Markov decision process is proposed in this paper. Firstly, the degradation process of the TPSE is described by a four-state Markov process, and the state residence time and its transition probability of the equipment are obtained by equaling fault times in the statistical period. Then, the imperfect maintenance is considered in this paper. And the failure risk of the TPSE after maintenance is quantified for optimizing both the economic cost and the reliability of maintenance strategy. Finally, the practical fault record data of 27.5 kV vacuum circuit breakers for a traction power supply system (TPSS) are used to verify the proposed model. The results show that the maintenance model can provide guidance on decision-making for the maintenance under uncertainty, and the determination of maintenance schemes to optimize both TPSE reliability and operational cost.