Abstract

Early classification of longitudinal data remains an active area of research today. The complexity of these datasets and the high rates of missing data caused by irregular sampling present data-level challenges for the Early Longitudinal Data Classification (ELDC) problem. Coupled with the algorithmic challenge of optimising the opposing objectives of early classification (i.e., earliness and accuracy), ELDC becomes a non-trivial task. Inspired by the generative power and utility of the Generative Adversarial Network (GAN), we propose a novel context-conditional, longitudinal early classifier GAN (LEC-GAN). This model utilises informative missingness, static features and earlier observations to improve the ELDC objective. It achieves this by incorporating ELDC as an auxiliary task within an imputation optimization process. Our experiments on several datasets demonstrate that LEC-GAN outperforms all relevant baselines in terms of F1 scores while increasing the earliness of prediction.

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