Abstract

Co-infection of JC polyomavirus (JCPyV) and BK polyomavirus (BKPyV) is uncommon in kidney transplant recipients, and the prognosis is unclear. This study aimed to investigate the effect of concurrent JCPyV-DNAemia on graft outcomes in BKPyV-infected kidney transplant recipients with polyomavirus-associated nephropathy (PyVAN). A total of 140 kidney transplant recipients with BKPyV replication and PyVAN, 122 without concurrent JCPyV-DNAemia and 18 with JCPyV-DNAemia were included in the analysis. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to identify prognostic factors for graft survival. A nomogram for predicting graft survival was created and evaluated. The median tubulitis score in the JCPyV-DNAemia-positive group was higher than in JCPyV-DNAemia-negative group (P = 0.048). At last follow-up, the graft loss rate in the JCPyV-DNAemia-positive group was higher than in the JCPyV-DNAemia-negative group (50% versus 25.4%; P = 0.031). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the graft survival rate in the JCPyV-DNAemia-positive group was lower than in the JCPyV-DNAemia-negative group (P = 0.003). Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that concurrent JCPyV-DNAemia was an independent risk factor for graft survival (hazard ratio = 4.808; 95% confidence interval: 2.096-11.03; P < 0.001). The nomogram displayed favorable discrimination (C-index = 0.839), concordance, and clinical applicability in predicting graft survival. Concurrent JCPyV-DNAemia is associated with a worse graft outcome in BKPyV-infected kidney transplant recipients with PyVAN.

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