Abstract
Technological change continues at an increasing pace, especially for military technology, with its widespread, institutionalized research and development. Near-future technologies include true drones, robotic weapon systems, nanotechnologies of warfare, and autonomous weapon systems. The conclusion shows that although warfare technologies are now more effective, there is less warfare in the world—based on casualties as a percentage of population—than ever before. Armed conflict between developed and undeveloped states will remain predominantly asymmetric. But it is impossible to predict what technologies developed states will employ or what low-tech innovations the have-nots will deploy. Nuclear weapons and symmetrical arsenals among the developed states will likely deter interstate war indefinitely, barring some technological breakthrough.
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