Abstract

The concept of ecological models helps to contextualize the scenarios towards whichthe dynamics of a forest ecosystem can be directed, after being affected by a forestfire. However, although some ecological models related to the impact of fires intemperate ecosystems have been defined in Mexico, there are few models aimed attropical ecosystems. In accordance with this, in this work two conceptual ecologicalmodels of fire-sensitive tropical forest ecosystems of the Yucatan Peninsula arepresented: the low subdeciduous forest and the medium subevergreen forest.Developed with a cyclical inductive-deductive logic, following: a) description offorest ecosystems based on a certain level of empiricism, derived from experience inforest fires; b) reduce the complexity of ecosystem dynamics in relation to theoccurrence of forest fires, through a deduction process, and establish hypotheses ofpossible response scenarios; and c) classify the accumulated knowledge andunderstanding of ecosystem response that has been obtained from the past andpresent, to extrapolate to the future. The above helped determine the scenarios of thepotential dynamics of ecosystems with, or without, the presence of forest fires.

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