Abstract

Researchers have a long history in the conduct of evaluations of road safety countermeasures. However, despite the strengths of some evaluative road safety evaluations that align with previous and current thinking on program evaluation, few published road safety evaluations have followed standard conceptualization and methodology outlined in numerous program evaluation textbooks, journal articles and Web-based handbooks. However, conceptual and methodological challenges inherent in many evaluations of road safety countermeasures can affect causal attribution. Valid determination of causal attribution is enhanced by use of relevant theory or hypotheses on the putative mechanisms or pathways of change and by the use of a process evaluation to assess the actual implementation process. This article provides a detailed description of the constructs of causal chain, program logic models and process evaluation. This article provides an example of how these standard methods of theory-driven evaluation can improve the interpretation of outcomes and enhance causal attribution of a road safety countermeasure.

Highlights

  • Researchers have a long history in the conduct of evaluations of road safety countermeasures

  • Researchers have a long history in the use of innovative methods to conduct outcome evaluations of road safety countermeasures

  • Ross et al [1], in their evaluation of the British Road Safety Act of 1967, used the statistical method and research design of time series analysis for the evaluation of road safety legislation, which has subsequently been described in many seminal program evaluation textbooks and articles as a strong quasi-experimental method of choice in evaluation [2,3,4,5,6]

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Summary

Introduction

Researchers have a long history in the conduct of evaluations of road safety countermeasures. Some road safety evaluations have used a theory-driven or theory-based approach, advocated by many program evaluation textbooks [6,7,8,9]. Hall and O’Day [11] introduced the causal chain approach to evaluate road safety countermeasures that is a foundational construct to theory-driven program evaluation [9,12,13,14,15,16,17]. Conceptual and methodological challenges inherent in many evaluations of road safety countermeasures can affect causal attribution

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