Abstract
In this paper on the base of new mathematical model a software complex is developed for simulation and prediction of thermal processes in permafrost with presence of various engineering structures, which are sources of heat (cold). As a rule, these sources are production wells and other facilities located at oil and gas fields (in Russia 93% natural gas and 75% oil are produced in permafrost). The developed model and the software codes can be used for long-term forecasting of changes in permafrost and deep layer of freezing (thawing) of soil (active layer thickness - ALT), in depending only with the climatic conditions, as an input for the software, in particular, with average temperature and intensity of solar radiation. An essential feature of this method is “binding” by the original algorithm to a specific geographic location, as determined by latitude and longitude. The software is designed for multi-processor computer systems and will be adapted to the cloud technology.
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