Abstract

plete with the claims and counterclaims of an advancing educational technology. The knowledge of the mathematician and the engineer is being applied to problems of education (1). Probability theory, linear programming, decision theory, and computer technology are four notable examples of this technical knowledge. Although there is a formidable danger in the enthusiastic misapplication of these systems, it is also perilous to ignore or neglect these promising conceptual schemes. This article reports an effort to use one of these systems in what may or may not be an appropriate manner. The paper describes a program for a digital computer. In substance, the purpose of the program is to make curriculum recommendations. These recommendations are based on probability statements that a group of pupils will understand a given set of ideas. This program is not intended to usurp the prerogatives and responsibilities of curriculum-planning groups. The decision-making process continues to be a prime responsibility of the

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