Computer extracted shape features of prostate capsule from MRI to predict biochemical recurrence of prostate cancer post-treatment.

Abstract

e16579 Background: Pre-treatment identification of biochemical recurrence (BCR) from MRI may enable the use of aggressive neo-adjuvant therapies for prostate cancer patients to improve prognosis. BCR is often associated with aggressive cancer growth and/or extra prostatic extension resulting in an irregular bulge and focal capsular retraction. This may induce differences in the shape of the prostate capsule between BCR positive (BCR+) and BCR negative (BCR-) patients as observed on MRI. In this work, we show that computer extracted shape features of the prostate capsule on MRI can identify patients that are at a risk of BCR post-treatment Methods: In a single centre IRB approved study, from a registry of 874 patients, availability of complete image datasets (T1w, T2w and ADC map); no treatment for PCa before MRI; presence of clinically localised PCa; availability of Gleason score; and data available for post-treatment PSA and follow-up for at least 3 years in patients without BCR were used as inclusion criteria to select 80 patients. The prostate capsule was manually segmented on T2w MRI by an experienced radiologist. Two atlases A+ and A- were created for BCR+ and BCR- patients respectively with similar Gleason score (6 to 9), similar numbers in each cohort (25 each) and similar tumor stage (T2 to T3). A t-test based analysis corrected for multiple comparison revealed statistically significant prostate shape differences between A+ and A- in surface of interest (SOI). Curvature features (magnitude and surface normal orientations) were extracted from SOI of the two cohorts. A random forest classifier was trained using the 50 training images (from A+ and A-) and validated using a hold-out validation set of 30 patients. Results: The inter-quartile range, variance, skewness and kurtosis of curvature magnitude and normal orientations were found to be predictive of BCR. The RF classifier trained using these features could predict BCR with an accuracy of 78% and an AUC of 0.71 in the validation set. Conclusions: Curvature magnitude and orientation features of the prostate capsule from the SOI may be predictive of BCR. In future a multi centre independent datasets will be used to validate the findings.