Abstract

This paper deals with the computation of invariant measures and stationary expectations for discrete-time Markov chains governed by a block-structured one-step transition probability matrix. The method generalizes in some respect Neuts’ matrix-geometric approach to vector-state Markov chains. The method reveals a strong relationship between Markov chains and matrix continued fractions which can provide valuable information for mastering the growing complexity of real-world applications of large-scale grid systems and multidimensional level-dependent Markov models. The results obtained are extended to continuous-time Markov chains.

Highlights

  • This paper is concerned with the computation of invariant measures of discrete-time Markov chains X = ðXkÞk≥0 having a block-partitioned one-step transition matrix P of the form P00 P01 0 ⋯ ⋯ ⋯⋯ P = BBBBBBBBBBB@ P10 ⋮ Pn0 0 P11 ⋮ Pn1 Pn+1,1 P12 ⋱ ⋯ ⋯ 0 ⋱ Pnn Pn+1,n

  • This paper deals with the computation of invariant measures and stationary expectations for discrete-time Markov chains governed by a block-structured one-step transition probability matrix

  • Irreducibility, and recurrence, the solution to yQ = 0 is unique up to constant multiples and strictly positive. These assumptions allow constructing the embedded jump chain which is a discretetime Markov chain X = ðXnÞ∞ n=0 with transition probability matrix with structure (1) and Pij = D−i 1Qij + δijI where Di is the diagonal matrix with entries −qði,jÞ,ði,jÞ at position ðj, jÞ

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Summary

Introduction

Since ðNÞP is not stochastic anymore, the last step of the above general method has to be interpreted appropriately: xðNÞ shall solve xðNÞ·ðNÞP = xðNÞ up to the first scalar equation This simplified matrix-analytic algorithm becomes even more powerful when only stationary expectations have to be computed since the memory-efficient variant suggested in [7] can be applied. Since Markov chains with general block structure are discussed, transition matrices of the form (1) or its continuous analogue ((20) below) can be interpreted as special cases. In some way, we combine the ideas of Neuts’ original matrix-geometric approach with considerations for level-dependent quasi-birth-death processes ( the resulting transition structures are not as general as in [8]), and with memory-efficient algorithms as developed in [7] for quasi-birth-death processes.

A Derivation Based on Taboo Probabilities
Continuous-Time Markov Chains
Algorithms
T ðT f ðXtÞdt yf y1
Relationship to Matrix Continued Fractions
Numerical Example
Conclusion and Further Research
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