Abstract

In this work, we investigate a modified population model of non-infected and infected (SI) compartmentsto predict the spread of the infectious disease COVID-19 in Pakistan. For Approximate solution, we use LaplaceAdomian Decomposition Method (LADM). With the help of the said technique, we develop an algorithmto compute series type solution to the proposed problem. We compute few terms approximate solutionscorresponding to different compartment. With the help of MATLAB, we also plot our approximate solutionsfor different compartment graphically.

Highlights

  • At present, COVID-19 is a contiguous and dreadful outbreak facing the entire world, which is considered to be spread in the world from a China city called Wuhan

  • We investigate a modified population model of non-infected and infected (SI) compartments to predict the spread of the infectious disease COVID-19 in Pakistan

  • After severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV) in 2002 that spread to 37 countries and the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) in 2012 that spread to 27 countries, COVID-19 is the third zoonotic human coronavirus

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Summary

Introduction

COVID-19 is a contiguous and dreadful outbreak facing the entire world, which is considered to be spread in the world from a China city called Wuhan. Typical symptoms of COVID-19 infection include dry cough, fever, fatigue, breathing difficulty, and bilateral lung infiltration in severe cases, similar to those caused by SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV infections [6]. Nonrespiratory symptoms such as nausea, vomiting, and diarrhea are found in some people[7, 8]. The Novel Corona Virus (COVID-19) has been studied through various models [25, 36] This disease is extremely contagious, the countries around the world adapted the universal protocols to stop the spread from person to person which are social distancing, use of mask, use of sanitizer or frequently hand washing. Since the infection is rapidly transmitting from one person to another, people would be advised to take necessary action such as wearing masks, strict isolation, largescale quarantine, and advising the people to stay home to reduce the contact with the infected persons

Model formulation
Background
Main Work
Graphical results and discussion
Findings
Concluding Remarks
Full Text
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