Comprehensive evaluation of coal burst risk using optimized linear weighted model

Abstract

The assessment of coal burst risk is a complex and systematic process; the variations among the indicator systems and the stability of the evaluation models used can influence the results. In this study, an index system for the analytic hierarchy process was constructed based on 21 geomechanically influential factors on rock bursts. The multi-weight combination optimization model was used to synthesize the subjective weights derived by the four experts using AHP and the objective weights derived through the inter-criteria correlation method to obtain the unique optimization weights. After normalizing the original evaluation data, the Gram–Schmidt orthogonalization method was employed to eliminate correlations among factors. The optimized factor weights and data were subsequently input into a linearly weighted comprehensive evaluation model to determine the coal burst risk. The proposed method was applied to assess the coal burst risk of a coal seam in the Liang Jia Coal Mine. These results align with those of the actual coal mine scenario. Indeed, the proposed linear weighted comprehensive evaluation model provided enhanced accuracy and reliability with improved practicality compared to previously proposed methods.