Abstract

The impact of the time aspect in planning of the maximum load and the standard capacity reserve on determination of the price for the power capacity while the competitive power selection procedure is described. The article illustrates the fundamental differences between the concepts of the load forecasting error caused by the temperature factor and forecast volume of power consumption, considering it in power capacity demand formation. The results of the impact made by these factors on the competitive power selection procedure are presented.

Highlights

  • The current state of the electric power industry is characterized by the significant excess of the generating capacity caused by the reduction in electricity consumption during the restructuring period

  • Rationale for the reliability providing tools deal with development of the balance reliability indicators estimation models (BRI), which take into account both the detailed balance of power and a number of random factors caused by the unreliability of equipment and the uncertainty of the projected parameters

  • In accordance with the Regulation No 431 the capacity demand for the year of the capacity selection procedure (CSP) is determined by three components: planned, taking into account the impact of the temperature factor combined with the maximum load, the planned reserve ratio and the deviation, % 30

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Summary

Introduction

The current state of the electric power industry is characterized by the significant excess of the generating capacity caused by the reduction in electricity consumption during the restructuring period. Long-term power contracts (LTC) mechanism on the power capacity in the competitive capacity selection procedure (CSP) provides implementation of the new generation sources in the power balance mainly by increasing power charges to consumers by various means of increasing the projected demand parameters in the power balance. From these points of view, the article deals with formation of the components of the power demand - the maximum load and the normative power reserve in the normativetechnical documents (NTD)

Peculiar features of a competitive power capacity selection
Capacity balance of the UES Russia
Submission of the load when justifying the normative power capacity reserve
Analysis of a power consumption forecast
Findings
Practical results and some conclusions
Full Text
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