Abstract

The Greenland Ice Sheet is losing mass at an accelerating rate due to increased surface melt and flow acceleration in outlet glaciers. Quantifying future dynamic contributions to sea level requires accurate portrayal of outlet glaciers in ice sheet simulations, but to date poor knowledge of subglacial topography and limited model resolution have prevented reproduction of complex spatial patterns of outlet flow. Here we combine a high-resolution ice-sheet model coupled to uniformly applied models of subglacial hydrology and basal sliding, and a new subglacial topography data set to simulate the flow of the Greenland Ice Sheet. Flow patterns of many outlet glaciers are well captured, illustrating fundamental commonalities in outlet glacier flow and highlighting the importance of efforts to map subglacial topography. Success in reproducing present day flow patterns shows the potential for prognostic modelling of ice sheets without the need for spatially varying parameters with uncertain time evolution.

Highlights

  • The Greenland Ice Sheet is losing mass at an accelerating rate due to increased surface melt and flow acceleration in outlet glaciers

  • Using the ice sheet geometry given by ice thickness and subglacial topography from Morlighem et al.[8], we calculated diagnostic velocity fields with Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM)

  • Our results demonstrate that spatial variability in flow can be explained in large part by the spatial variability in ice thickness

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Summary

Introduction

The Greenland Ice Sheet is losing mass at an accelerating rate due to increased surface melt and flow acceleration in outlet glaciers. Quantifying future dynamic contributions to sea level requires accurate portrayal of outlet glaciers in ice sheet simulations, but to date poor knowledge of subglacial topography and limited model resolution have prevented reproduction of complex spatial patterns of outlet flow. Code parallelization, combined with high-performance computing, have begun to make high-resolution ice sheet modelling tractable Combining these advances allows us to pursue a set of numerical experiments to investigate whether spatially complex flow patterns in outlet glaciers can be captured in whole-icesheet simulations using only ice-sheet-wide (spatially uniform) parameters, without local ‘tuning’ applied to individual grid cells. Overall root mean squared (r.m.s.) velocity differences decrease with increasing model resolution This indicates that ongoing improvements in the mapping of subglacial topography, together with improvements in modelling resolution, go a long ways towards improved wholeice-sheet numerical simulations

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