Abstract

In the article, in relation to the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation, a new method of forecasting hydrocarbon deposits based on computer geodynamic modelling procedures is considered. It is less expensive compared to field and analytical methods. The approbation of the method on the example of the Laptev Sea shelf zone showed a good interpretability of its results and their compliance with the forecast obtained by other methods. The rationality of using six geodynamic indicators for forecasting: the distributions of vortex structures of the velocity vectors of horizontal shear deformations and vortex structures of normal linear deformations; the values of the velocity vectors of horizontal shear deformations and velocity vectors of horizontal normal linear deformations; the distributions of the anomalous gravitational field in isostatic reduction and the reduced temperature. The sequence of stages in determining the potential of hydrocarbon deposits in the studied territories is described, which is associated with the solution of six interrelated sequential tasks: the choice of local territorial areas of optimal size - the calculation of geodynamic indicators – the allocation of homogeneous territorial clusters – the detailing and improvement of geodynamic indicators – the determination of the potential of oil and gas fields in the cluster – the localization of oil and gas fields in each cluster – construction of a digital forecast map of the location of oil and gas fields in the study area.

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