Complex Analysis of the Epidemiological Situation of Tuberculosis used as an Additional Tool for Determining the «Risk Areas»on the Siberian Federal District

Abstract

Relevance. The article presents an example of using the method of integral assessment of the epidemiological situation of tuberculosis, which is applied to the main statistical criteria as a more accurate approach in assessing the manifestation of the epidemic process and identifying «risk areas» within the Siberian Federal District. The essence of the method consists in ranking the statistical indicators used from the minimum values to the maximum values for the entire study period, and further summing the ranks for each indicator. The resulting integral indicator is further used to calculate the generalized visibility coefficient.Aim. Argumentation of «risk areas» associated with tuberculosis infection in the Siberian Federal District using a comprehensive assessment of the main epidemiological indicators.Results and discussion. A complex assessment of the epidemiological situation of tuberculosis infection on the territory of the Siberian Federal District made it possible to identify regions with an unfavorable epidemiological situation (Novosibirsk and Kemerovo regions, Altai Territory, Irkutsk region and the Republic of Tyva), which require a comprehensive study to determine the causal relationships and risk factors lying in based on the observed deterioration in key epidemiological indicators.Conclusion. In terms of risk-based surveillance, regions with an unfavorable epidemiological situation can be designated as «territory zones».