Abstract
AimsTo compare the prognostic power of nutritional screening (NUTRIC score) and Subjective Global Assessment (SGA), executed alone or their complementarity, for predicting 28-day mortality risk in ICU patients. We also aimed to identify the cut-off point obtained in the NUTRIC that presented the best validity parameters for predicting mortality in this population. MethodsA sample of 159 patients was evaluated in the first 24 hours of ICU admission. Modified NUTRIC score was performed (without interleucina-6). ROC curve and Youden criterion were used to identify the best cut-off point. Poisson regression and the number needed to screen (NNS) were used to test the complementarity between the tools and their ability to predict 28-day mortality. ResultsA sample of 159 patients was evaluated (51% male, 56.6 ± 20 years) and the APACHE II, SOFA and NUTRIC score medians were 22 (IQR:15;26), 6 (IQR:2;9) and 3 (IQR: 2;5), respectively. Almost 60% of the patients were malnourished (SGA B or C) and 32.7% died during 28-day follow-up. The area under ROC curve for NUTRIC score was 0.79. Using a new cutoff (NUTRIC score ≥ 4), patients with nutritional risk have a 28-day mortality risk almost 6 times higher than subjects without nutritional risk. Patients classified as SGA C showed a 28-day mortality risk 2.19 times higher compared to nourished ones. Evaluating the complementarity of the tools, patients classified as nutritional risk (NUTRIC score ≥ 4) and SGA C showed a 28-day mortality risk 7 times higher and a lower NNS when compared to those patients with a NUTRIC < 4 and any SGA category. ConclusionsA new cutoff value was identified for this population. Simultaneous SGA assessment in patients with nutritional risk may enhance the predictive power of 28-day mortality, providing better identification of higher risk patients who may benefit from a more aggressive nutritional therapy.
Published Version
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