Abstract
Annotation: Based on official statistics, the article performed an econometric modeling of macroeconomic indicators, characterized by the ratio of employment to the total number of economically active population for the period 2000–2018. On the base of time series, the parameters of the autoregressive model are found, the economic forecast and the level of employment for 2019-2021 are calculated, when the current trends in the national labor market remain unchanged. The analysis shows that in the national economy the number of unemployed is growing in parallel with the number of employed due to the lack of proportionality in the number of created new jobs.
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