Abstract

This study investigates the role of prior grounding attained in mathematics in predicting the academic achievement of enrollees in Bachelor of Science in Actuarial Science (BSAS). The investigation is based on administrative records of 240 BSAS enrolle es at Makerere University, School of Statistics and Planning in the 2007‐2009 cohorts. Students’ gr aduating Cumulative Grade Point Average (CGPA) was adopted as a measure of their academic ac hievement. Mathematics grade scores obtained by the students in their Advanced level (A-level) o f secondary education were adopted as a measure of competence in the discipline. Academic achievement was modeled in the analysis by enrollees’ characteristics and their competence in mathematics using a robust regression. The results revealed that students’ CGPA increases with their A-level ma thematics scores. A similar pattern is observed when the assessment is made using a combined weight ed score of enrollees adopted on admission to the program. The findings confirm that 1) prior aca demic qualifications predict enrollees’ academic achievement and 2) competence in A-level mathematic s predicts success in the program.

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