Comparisons on characteristics and mechanisms of the decadal megadroughts over eastern China between MCA and LIA

Abstract

AbstractIn this study, simulations of 13 all‐forcing experiments from the Community Earth System Model Last Millennium Ensemble (CESM‐LME) archive were used to investigate the different spatiotemporal characteristics and corresponding mechanisms of the decadal megadroughts over the eastern China during two typical periods in the past millennium, that is, Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) and Little Ice Age (LIA). The results show that there is no significant difference in either megadrought intensity or duration between the MCA and LIA, but there are significant differences in the megadrought frequencies. The frequency of megadroughts during the MCA is 1.44 times/hundred years, compared with 1.69 times/hundred years in LIA. Results from solar only sensitivity experiments and volcanic only sensitivity experiments show that this difference is mainly induced by the solar radiation. The mechanism analyses show that a spatial pattern of sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) resembling the positive Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)‐like pattern have occurred simultaneously with the megadroughts during both the MCA and LIA. While, the megadroughts in MCA are strongly correlated with the strong PDO‐like SSTA patterns, and the megadroughts in LIA are strongly correlated with the weak PDO‐like SSTA patterns. In addition, the anomalous sea level pressure (SLP) field and wind field associate with the megadroughts during the MCA and LIA are consistent with the strengths of SSTA, with significant larger SLP and wind anomalies during the MCA than those during the LIA. Therefore, it can be concluded that the responses of the large‐scale atmospheric circulation patterns to SSTA are similar during these two typical periods, and the difference in the megadrought frequencies is due to the nonlinear response of the precipitation variability to the large‐scale atmospheric circulation patterns.