Comparison of Water Quality Prediction for Red Tilapia Aquaculture in an Outdoor Recirculation System Using Deep Learning and a Hybrid Model

Abstract

In modern aquaculture, the focus is on optimizing production and minimizing environmental impact through the use of recirculating water systems, particularly in outdoor setups. In such systems, maintaining water quality is crucial for sustaining a healthy environment for aquatic life, and challenges arise from instrumentation limitations and delays in laboratory measurements that can impact aquatic animal production. This study aimed to predict key water quality parameters in an outdoor recirculation aquaculture system (RAS) for red tilapia aquaculture, including dissolved oxygen (DO), pH, total ammonia nitrogen (TAN), nitrite nitrogen (NO2–N), and alkalinity (ALK). Initially, a random forest (RF) model was employed to identify significant factors for predicting each parameter, selecting the top three features from routinely measured parameters on the farm: DO, pH, water temperature (Temp), TAN, NO2–N, and transparency (Trans). This approach aimed to streamline the analysis by reducing variables and computation time. The selected parameters were then used for prediction, comparing the performance of convolutional neural network (CNN), long short-term memory (LSTM), and CNN–LSTM models across different epochs (1000, 3000, and 5000). The results indicated that the CNN–LSTM model at 5000 epochs was effective in predicting DO, TAN, NO2–N, and ALK, with high R2 values (0.815, 0.826, 0.831, and 0.780, respectively). However, pH prediction showed lower efficiency with an R2 value of 0.377.