Abstract

The relative efficacy and safety of tofacitinib and upadacitinib were assessed in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) with an inadequate response to conventional synthetic (cs) or biologic (b) disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs). We performed a Bayesian network meta-analysis to combine direct and indirect evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to examine the efficacy and safety of tofacitinib and upadacitinib in combination with methotrexate (MTX) in RA patients with an inadequate cs- or b-DMARD response. Nine RCTs including 5794 patients met the inclusion criteria. There were 15 pairwise comparisons including 10 direct comparisons of 6 interventions. Upadacitinib 15mg+MTX and upadacitinib 30mg+MTX were among the most effective treatments for active RA with an inadequate cs- or b-DMARD response, followed by tofacitinib 10mg+MTX, tofacitinib 5mg+MTX, and adalimumab+MTX. Ranking probability based on the surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) indicated that upadacitinib 15mg+MTX and upadacitinib 30mg+MTX had the highest probability of being the best treatment in terms of the American College of Rheumatology 20 response rate (SUCRA=0.820, 0.762), followed by tofacitinib 10mg+MTX (SUCRA=0.623), tofacitinib 5mg+MTX (SUCRA=0.424), adalimumab+MTX (SUCRA=0.371), and placebo+MTX (SUCRA=0.001). No significant differences were observed in the incidence of serious adverse events after treatment with tofacitinib+MTX, upadacitinib+MTX, adalimumab+MTX, or placebo+MTX. In RA patients with an inadequate response to cs- or b-DMARDs, upadacitinib 15mg+MTX and upadacitinib 30mg+MTX were the most efficacious interventions and were not associated with significant risks of serious adverse events.

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