Abstract

BackgroundEstimation of fetal weight (EFW) by ultrasound is useful in clinical decision-making. Numerous formulas for EFW have been published but have not been validated in pregnancies complicated by preterm premature rupture of membranes (PPROM). The purpose of this study is to compare the accuracy of EFW formulas in patients with PPROM, and to further evaluate the performance of the most commonly used formula - Hadlock IV.MethodsA retrospective cohort study of women with singleton gestations and PPROM, admitted to a single tertiary center between 2005 and 2017 from 220/7–330/7 (n = 565). All women had an EFW within 14 days of delivery by standard biometry (biparietal diameter, head circumference, abdominal circumference and femur length). The accuracy of previously published 21 estimated EFW formulas was assessed by comparing the Pearson correlation with actual birth weight, and calculating the random error, systematic error, proportion of estimates within 10% of birth weight, and Euclidean distance.ResultsThe mean gestational was 26.8 ± 2.4 weeks at admission, and 28.2 ± 2.6 weeks at delivery. Most formulas were strongly correlated with actual birth weight (r > 0.9 for 19/21 formulas). Mean systematic error was − 4.30% and mean random error was 14.5%. The highest performing formula, by the highest proportion of estimates and lowest Euclidean distance was Ott (1986), which uses abdominal and head circumferences, and femur length. However, there were minimal difference with all of the first 10 ranking formulas. The Pearson correlation coefficient for the Hadlock IV formula was strong at r = 0.935 (p < 0.001), with 319 (56.5%) of measurements falling within 10%, 408 (72.2%) within 15% and 455 (80.5%) within 20% of actual birth weight. This correlation was unaffected by gender (r = 0.936 for males, r = 0.932 for females, p < 0.001 for both) or by amniotic fluid level (r = 0.935 for mean vertical pocket < 2 cm, r = 0.943 for mean vertical pocket ≥2 cm, p < 0.001 for both).ConclusionsIn women with singleton gestation and PPROM, the Ott (1986) formula for EFW was the most accurate, yet all of the top ten ranking formulas performed quite well. The commonly used Hadlock IV performed quite similarly to Ott’s formula, and is acceptable to use in this specific setting.

Highlights

  • Estimation of fetal weight (EFW) by ultrasound is useful in clinical decision-making

  • Most formulas had a strong correlation with actual birth weight (19/21 formulas with r > 0.9)

  • The strongest correlation was calculated for formulas using both femur length (FL) and head circumference (HC) in addition to abdominal circumference (AC), such as Combs [11] (r = 0.940), Ott [12] (r = 0.940), and Hadlock [1] (r = 0.936)

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Summary

Introduction

Estimation of fetal weight (EFW) by ultrasound is useful in clinical decision-making. The purpose of this study is to compare the accuracy of EFW formulas in patients with PPROM, and to further evaluate the performance of the most commonly used formula - Hadlock IV. Since ultrasound became one of the mainstays of obstetrical care, multiple formulas for calculation of EFW have been proposed [1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12] These formulas use a variation of fetal biometrics, including abdominal circumference (AC), femur length (FL), head circumference (HC), and biparietal diameter (BPD).

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